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Feature: Industry Outlook

09 Jan 2019
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THE South African trade

will soon have to compete

with international OTAs

that serve millions of travellers

a year, using technology

to provide a personalised

customer service that rivals

that of small businesses, says

Marco Ciocchetti, ceo of XL

Travel Head Office.

“Travel websites are

‘learning’ to deliver more

personalised results for travel

planners. Artificial intelligence

(AI) is the power behind many

emerging technology platforms

– from building smarter virtual

assistants to techniques

for making use of Big Data.

We are also seeing AI Chat

platforms help suppliers to

provide an improved service.”

Stephan Ekbergh, Travelstart

ceo, also highlighted AI as

a potential threat. He said

AI-powered voice search

devices, Amazon Echo and

Google Assistant, were both

becoming prominent in

American homes and that

this trend would soon spread

globally. “This will present

a major challenge to travel

brands and could completely

change how travel is sold and

serviced.”

According to Tammy Hunt,

md of eTravel, the biggest

threat to ITCs for 2019 will

be a lack of openness to

technological adoption. “It

is important to constantly

communicate with clients in

order to stay abreast of their

changing needs. ITCs that

make smart use of technology

will be able to increase their

value proposition by improving

their ability to personalise their

service.”

But the threat of AI presents

an opportunity to agents who

adopt technology to streamline

their processes and offer

better and more personalised

service. “It has never been

easier to automate, streamline

processes and improve

knowledge,” said Otto de

Vries, ceo of Asata.

According to Marco, in 2019,

delivering a personalised

service will matter more

than ever before. “Travel

businesses will need to

make use of technological

advances to demonstrate

their willingness to go ‘above

and beyond’ for their clients.

For example, sending a push

notification about a jazz show

downtown to a client with a

passion for live music – and

including a link for discounted

tickets.”

Stephan said the trade

could no longer afford to delay

investing in AI. “AI offers a

huge opportunity. Migration

to app is a major trend

that the local trade need to

adopt in order to improve

their ability to personalise

the travel experience and

build relationships with their

customers.” He added that an

app could use AI and Big Data

to personalise travel in a way

that wasn’t possible before: “It

is also a fantastic tool to keep

in contact with your customer

throughout their trip.”

Marco added that while

robotics and process

automation had several

front- and back-of-house uses

across the travel sectors,

workforce automation was a

rising concern in the travel

industry. “However, there is

opportunity for travel brands

to approach automation

from a reinvestment of talent

perspective, rather than one of

replacement.”

He added that these

investments in innovation did

not need to detract from the

person-to-person experience

widely associated with the

travel industry. “For today’s

travel brands, and tomorrow’s,

technology must be leveraged

to produce elevated authentic

experiences without losing

sight of the human connection.

Not to be ignored is a

brand’s commitment to the

employee experience. It can

have considerable reach and

strategic value, both as a

driver of workplace satisfaction

and as a profit-enabling

initiative,” said Marco

Upcoming election, depressed economy cloud 2019 

THE unpredictable economic

climate was cited as a key

concern by many members

of the trade, with the election

adding further uncertainty.

“I think the impact of the

upcoming 2019 election on

the exchange rate would

be the top of my list of

concerns,” said Wally Gaynor,

md of Club Travel.

Asata’s Otto de Vries

predicted that bookings

during the run-up to the

election could stagnate as

concerns around SA’s geopolitical stability impacted

the exchange rate. “This will

come on top of the pressure

the depressed economy is

already placing on the retail

sector and the limiting effects

of government red tape on

the growth of SMEs and job

creation.”

Air Mauritius regional

manager, Southern Africa

and Latin America, Carla da

Silva, said the cost of doing

business in South Africa,

from an airline perspective,

was a threat. “Costs have

to be monitored as the fee

escalation could very well

drive airlines away.” She

added that the unabridged

birth certificate and visa

regulations also remained a

challenge, a view shared by

Barsa ceo, June Crawford,

and Chris Zweigenthal, ce

of Aasa.

Chris added that the slow

GDP growth rate had reflected

in the aviation industry

in 2018. “Our passenger

numbers are only up 1%

year-to-date. We would need

to see this rise to 5% to

know that the economy is

in recovery. I am concerned

about whether or not SA will

be able to break out of the

current GDP trend.”

He contextualised this in

light of increasing global

unpredictability, particularly

with regard to US markets,

and the impact this could

have on growth and

development in SA. Further

to this, Carla said the price of

fuel and the rate of exchange

would likely remain volatile

and challenging, adding that

more consolidation was likely

to transpire in both the travel

and aviation arenas.

Kirby Gordon, head of sales

and distribution at FlySafair,

said the last two years had

seen domestic passenger

numbers in South Africa

basically stay the same (less

than 1% growth). “This is

fine for now given the market

capacity dynamics, but the

threat is that those numbers

start to shrink with a

struggling economy. Similarly,

the price of oil has not been

in our favour. As that goes

up, so too will our costs and,

given our thin margins, so

too will fares. So now we’re

looking at a scenario with

fewer passengers and higher

fares, which will mean even

fewer who can afford to fly.”Ongoing fraud and

corruption continued to be

major threats to the travel

and aviation industry, said

Carla. “This is why sound

corporate governance

is critical.” Marelize Le

Roux, operations and

reservations manager

at Travel Vision, added

that fraud was a concern

for agencies at a grass

roots level as well: “The

industry needs to be

vigilant when it comes

to fraud. Agents need

to make sure they are

dealing with reputable

operators and suppliers.”

 Wally added that the

change in Iata BSP billing

cycles and new rules

would also present a

challenge for agents in

the New Year.

 “Google is one of the

biggest threats to the

travel industry, full stop,”

said Travelstart’s Stephan

Ekbergh. Stephan was

speaking to TNW in the

context of Google travel

specialist, Benedicte

Conway’s suggestion that

the travel trade mirror

innovators such as Netflix

by making use of AI and

Big Data technologies

to start showing more

tailored, personalised

content to consumers.

Stephan said it would

be anti-competitive if

Google were to make use

of such technology in an

unregulated environment.

“Governments will need

to regulate the use of

emerging technologies if

they are to ensure that

Google doesn’t establish

a market monopoly.”

He added that the

information Google could

collect on clients from

their search history, social

media activity and mobile

app usage over the period

of one year, would allow

the company to know the

client better than they

knew themselves .

Egypt and Turkey expected to see ‘exponential growth’

OPERATORS report that

Egypt and Turkey have

bounced back as excellent

value-for-money destinations

on South African travellers’

radars. Operators expect

further growth to these

regions in 2019.

According to Caroline

Tinsley, business

development manager

at Intrepid Travel SA,

the operator has seen

significant growth in these

regions as their political

situations stabilise.

Despite the unfortunate

bombing in Giza in January,

operators say that it is

still business as usual in

Egypt with all tours still

going ahead and growth

predictions remaining

unchanged.

Chris van Staden, director

of Azure Travel, described

the growth for Egypt and

Turkey as exponential. “In

the last six months we’ve

seen demand for Egypt

grow 80% and Turkey grow

50%.” He said, all things

being equal, the growth

was expected continue

into 2019. He added that

travellers were increasingly

drawn to the unique,

immersive experiences the

destinations offered.

Alex Gonsalves, gm of On

the Go Tours, said it had

seen demand for Egypt grow

60%-70% in the last two

years. “Demand dropped

significantly during the

Arab Spring, but Egypt is

now back in our five topselling destinations.” He

said demand for Turkey had

grown by 50% in the last

financial year. “We believe

that these destinations will

only gain more momentum

in the New Year.” He added

that travel to Turkey was

cost-effective for South

African travellers, and also

appealing as they did not

require a visa.

Celeste Muir, marketing

manager of Thompsons

Holidays, said it had

stopped selling Turkey

during 2016/2017 due to

the political instability. “We

started selling it again at

the beginning of 2018 and

have since seen substantial

growth.” She added that

travel to Greece had also

recovered after the country’s

economic crash. Chris saw

a similar trend, and said

Greece was a country to

watch: “We’ve seen 20%-

30% growth from Greece in

the last year.

Top travel trends for 2019

1 LAST-minute bookings

are on the rise, a trend that

is pertinent for agencies

promoting their own mobile

apps. The trekksoft.com 2018

tourism survey shows that the

global mobile booking window

narrowed to an average of five

days. Stephan Ekbergh

of Travelstart, said it had

seen the same trend from

SA travellers using its

booking app.

2 Teresa Richardson, The

Travel Corporation SA md, says

sustainable, responsible and

ecological travel are key travel

trends. “Sustainable travel

destinations that we expect

to see increase in popularity

in 2019 include South and

Central American countries

such as Costa Rica, Peru,

Chile, Argentina and Easter

Island, as well as Sri Lanka,

which was named the numberone country to visit in 2019 by

Lonely Planet.”

3 Luxury will be increasingly

defined by the exclusivity and

‘personality’ of the destination,

said Teresa, with travellers

looking for experiences that

focus on their interests and

that are unique and exclusive.

4 Getting away from it all will

be taken to the next level, with

burned out workers opting

for uncharted expeditions to

unknown places, and limited

digital connectivity. Marelize

Le Roux of Travel Vision

said it had seen an increase

in corporates using their

downtime for adventure travel

to bucket-list destinations.

5 The rise of solo female

travellers and female-only

tours has resulted in an

increase in women pursuing

active trips where they can

push themselves out of their

comfort zones, says Intrepid

Tours Caroline Tinsley. “We

have seen a significant spike

in interest in our womenonly, female-guided tours,

particularly to destinations

such as Iran, which are usually

more challenging to navigate

as a solo female traveller.”

6 ‘Insta-tourism’ will continue

to gain momentum in 2019.

This phenomenon has seen

the younger traveller make

entire trip plans based on

photogenic spots captured on

Instagram. Travel Counsellors

recently ran a social media

campaign where clients

were given a TC Teddy and

encouraged to tag TC in

photos of the toy. “The clients

really took to this idea,” said

marketing manager Michelle

Bullmore, adding that it

resulted in new business. “The

travel images on social media

became aspirational for the

friends, family and followers

of the client. They saw the

images, desired the trip and

then were immediately able to

connect with the agent. 

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